سنجش مجدد کمی از رابطه توسعه مالی ـ رشد: کاربرد مدل‌های ARDL و VDCM

This study is a quantitative reassessment of the effects of financial development on Iran’s economic growth within the period of 1973-2007 using both Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Variance Decomposition (VDCM) approaches. The empirical results reveal that the financial development has a significant and positive impact on shot-run and long-run economic growth. The shot-run and long-run elasticity of the real GDP to financial development are very little, indicating its very low sensitivity to shot-run and long-run changes of financial development though its long-run elasticity is higher than the short-run one.